Posts Tagged ‘technical analysis’

What Is A CDO And Why Should I Care?

Thursday, April 15th, 2010

For many in this country economics have become a nightmare. On top of all of the basics about how money works, another layer has come completely unraveled. That being the business of “shadow banking”.

To the degree that the population becomes wise to how this works, is the degree to which all of us can avoid the pitfalls of financial oppression.

The warning signs were clear that nothing good would come from the development of Collateralized Debt Obligations, CDOs. I was fortunate to have been in banking and in a group which voiced serious concerns over the development of crazier and crazier esoteric instruments. They were to be peddled as “same as cash” but were in fact far from that. By July 07 the auctions for these began to fail as financial institutions backed away.

The bankers started pushing the CDOs out the door. They managed to get them off their books and into the hands of others, most of whom were sold these as “same as cash” which of course they were not.

The instruments were created by companies such as Blackrock and Nuveen. By mid-February 08 the market for these seized up entirely. We are talking about a 300 billion dollar market freezing up.

Those who had trusted that these instruments were really the same as cash found their economic lives grinding to a halt. The regulators of course were flooded by complaints.

The brokerages insisted that they had done nothing wrong. Investigations ensued. Brokerages agreed to make their smaller investors whole at least.

Was the press interested? Well, it didn’t boil down to a quick set of soundbytes. Besides, the perpetrators were some of the biggest financial institutions in the country.

Finally, when Bernanke and Paulson held the country ransom for 700 billion dollars the story got media attention.

What kind of accountability is it that plays Robin Hood on the taxpayer for the benefit the banks?

Two days after the Presidential Election the markets continue to sputter. The word on the street is that that market is not pleased with the idea that full the street will not get full bonuses at year end.

So what kind of bonuses are we talking. Dick Fuld, had in 07 cleared 34 million.

Clearly Rand’s notion of enlightened self-interest did not trump raw greed for the banking industry. For more on Rand, see Objectivism and the 1957 novel “Atlas Shrugged”.This all plays nicely into the capital C Conspiracy Theorists who are ready to gloat over the “I told ya so’s”.

These “Too big to fail” are not national institutions. They are international. The idea of a sovereign nation is a thing of the past.

Will the New Vikings prevail? Stay tuned

James Horne has been a financial analyst for over 10 years. He is CEO of Pure Reason LLC, the home of Shadowtraders. His voice has been heard by hundreds of students learning to trade Futures with Shadowtraders online day trading strategies. Before you buy any trading software, make sure you attend Shadowtraders Monday Night Webinar, and hosted by Barbara Cohen

One of the Most Important Trading Strategies for Trading Emini Futures Contracts

Friday, April 2nd, 2010

To understand the essential nature of pivot trading, you’ll need to first of all understand that the stock market is controlled. Perhaps it could be best said that the Stock Market is entirely controlled and if it were not, then millions of Futures contracts and millions of shares of stock could not change hands each day so competently.

If you don’t believe that the market is controlled, then examine this example of how control might work. Towards the end of May 2009, Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner traveled to China and met with Chinese economic officials. The Chinese admonished Geithner, the conversation went, probably, like this…the Chinese telling Geithner that they have thoroughly invested in the U.S. stock market and in the U.S.Treasury bonds. Yet they are willing to withdraw from the US. Market if the stock market does not go up soon.

Geithner knows that could literally crash the U.S. economy, an economy held together with bobby pins.

Can Geithner and his buddies in the Treasury do anything? Geithner’s meeting with the Chinese takes place at the END of May. Upon his return, the Dow goes from 8,200 to 8,800 in two weeks, a 600-point spike. This is a market that had not moved for over two months, hanging around 8,000. How could the stock market move 600 points in two weeks if it hadn’t moved in over 2 months? In July and August, the stock market went up almost 1,000 points. Look at the Dow chart for the last five years. You can see that May through August are always thought to be summer doldrums. How, then, could the market go up 1,300 points in just over one month?

How does control make you a 12-minute trader? That’s easy. The market is controlled. The market’s “movers and shakers” know where they are want to take the market and they how fast to get it there. Movers and shakers abide by very controlled trading rules, a most important one being Futures Pivots. In order for you to become a 12-minute trader, you must learn the movers and shaker’s rules…buying when they buy and selling when they sell. You’ll need to truly become a market shadow.

What then, are pivots? Pivots are support and resistance price levels that allow the insiders to control daily highs and lows during any given trading day. There are in actuality 17 Futures trading pivots — eight intraday (occurring in just one day) and nine inter-day (occurring over more than 1 day). Futures Market insiders use Futures Pivots and stock market insiders use Stock Market pivots. To be a successful 12-minute trader, you need to have the pivots to appear on your technical analysis charts. It is very difficult to trade without pivots because you won’t know where the market may turn on a dime.

Want to uncover more about being a 12-minute trader? Want to learn more about Futures Market pivots and technical analysis? Attend a Monday night webinar on trading the Futures marker put on by http://www.shadowtrader.com. You’ll see for yourself the 17 pivots in action on the current day’s technical chart. Shadowtraders always demonstrates the current day’s chart, not some chart from several weeks or months earlier.

Before you buy another trading course, make sure you attend one of Barbara Cohen’s excellent free Monday night Webinars